RP

DC Capacity Forecasting

NovaCart · Resource Planning & Capacity Intelligence

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One sales number in. A day-by-day, DC-by-DC operational plan out.

Every figure below is generated from DC_Capacity_Forecast.xlsx — a demand-allocation model that turns a single network-wide sales forecast into per-DC, per-time-window delivery forecasts, with capacity risk detection, staffing needs, and what-if scenario simulation. This page opens instantly from a build-time snapshot; use Reload live from Excel to re-read the workbook directly when serving this project over a web server.

Network-wide capacity utilization — across 24 distribution centers, 30-day forecast horizon Forecast period —

Executive summary

Auto-generated highlights from the current forecast

Headline metrics

Read directly from every sheet of the workbook

How the forecast is built

Data flow, end to end

Network trends

30-day forecast horizon

Network utilization over time

The recurring spikes are demand rolling forward from DCs that close one day a week

Capacity vs. delivered orders

Staff shifts needed, daily

Utilization by weekday

Average across the horizon

Same-day vs. deferred demand


DC-level analysis

24 distribution centers, 5 regions, 3 service types

Utilization by DC

Sorted highest to lowest; red = overflow/high risk, grey = surplus

Risk category distribution

Utilization by region

Utilization by service type

At-risk vs. surplus DC count, by type


Forecast accuracy & validation

Leave-one-day-out backtest, 91 historical days

Actual vs. predicted volume

Network-wide daily items, capacity-constrained prediction

Demand accuracy vs. capacity accuracy

Capping a bad forecast at capacity can hide real model error — this separates the two


Service level & staffing

On-time delivery, staffing needs, undelivered backlog

On-time delivery rate, by DC

Share of demand fulfilled same-day (not deferred)

Staff shifts needed, by DC

Undelivered backlog at horizon end

DC / time-window slots with deferred demand still unresolved when the 30-day forecast ends

DC IDDC NameService TypeStateTime ScopeUndelivered Items

Planning & what-if scenarios

Staff reallocation and capacity-investment prioritization

Multi-DC capacity expansion: net benefit

+50% capacity scenario, ranked by economic value

Extra items delivered vs. extra staff cost

Recommended staff reallocation

At-risk DCs paired with the best-fitting surplus donor DC

At-Risk DCUtilizationDonor DCDonor UtilizationType MatchSuggested Transfer (shifts/day)